Questioning the effectiveness of SWAT raids.

Posted by – December 9, 2008

SWAT-11Death By SWAT

This is a very good article that illustrates why SWAT raids are such a poor general-purpose, law enforcement tactic.

A Denver Post investigation found that in 80 percent of no-knock raids conducted in Denver in 1999, police assertions that there would be weapons in the targeted home turned out to be wrong. A separate investigation by the Rocky Mountain News found that of the 146 no-knock warrants served in Denver in 1999, just 49 resulted in criminal charges, and only two resulted in prison time.

A 30% arrest rate is very poor performance for such a dangerous, high-risk, tactic. I have to wonder about the financial costs associated with the other 70% of the raids: wasted hours in training, planning and execution, lawsuits and settlements, medical costs for injuries, etc. Those costs could get pretty high for operations that don’t even produce arrests, let alone convictions.

Particularly telling is the mindset expressed here:

Lima police apparently aren’t as concerned. When told of the Lima News investigation, police spokesman Kevin Martin said, “That means 68 percent of the time, we’re getting guns or drugs off the street. We’re not looking at it as a win-loss record like a football team does.”

Clearly this police spokesman doesn’t pay attention to the metrics, and doesn’t understand the tactics employed. One of the major arguments for using Dynamic Entries against drug dealers is to prevent them from destroying evidence. If SWAT raids are turning up drugs but not convictions then ultimately the destruction of evidence (which also gets drugs off the streets) is the best outcome they normally achieve. If arrests and convictions are not the ultimate goal then giving the criminals ample opportunity to flush or destroy the drugs would be just as effective and far less dangerous for all involved.

  • That's one of the big factors: "We spent a fortune on guns and special uniforms and armor, and another fortune on ammo and night vision gear and whatever, we'd better find ways to justify it."

    Also, that moron with his 'win-loss' comment needs to be removed from such duty immediately. A raid like this has just about zero room for error in preventing people being injured or killed; that attitude makes it more likely it'll happen. It also points to not caring whether they actually make sure it's the right address/right people before they pull out the ram and ninja suits.

  • I think it points more to an attitude of "what are you going to do about it?" Sure some people have the ability to take the police to court, but I am betting that most no-knocks aren't served in the sorts of neighborhoods where people have lawyers on retainer.

  • I think it is more of a matter of justifying the budget - it is easy to inventory equipment, a bit harder to inventory training, but both are easier than the hiring process. So now you have budgeted for all this stuff (training and equipment) and it's not doing anything to reduce crime sitting around the station so you find ways to use it.

  • "...we’re getting guns or drugs off the street."

    Hooray for the Drug Warriors. Quite frankly, I am of the opinion that most of these guys just like to dress up like soldiers. Pretending you are a commando is sexy and cool.

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